I wish Blogger expanded postings automatically so the casual reader would see comments. Since they don't, I'll keep posting comments manually when they're really good. This one is from our guest resident scholar in international affairs, Hamlet:
I think the answer to this question depends on what the scale of the violence is and where the source of the violence is. It really depends on who starts it and what form it takes.
Kuchma would be foolhardy to instigate the masses, and there is no way to see Russia brazenly rolling tanks into Kiev. There would be easier ways to bring the military into this story that would not galvanize the ever important public opinion.
Perhaps the violence will start with a Yushchenko supporter targeting part of the political infrastructure. This isn't too unthinkable. It could be as benign as a building vandalized, or as bad as an assassination attempt (poison seems to be a preferred method here ;) ). Or, perhaps Russian spesnatz w
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